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Real interest
The real interest rate is the nominal interest rate minus
the rate of inflation, and thus is the interest rate adjusted
for inflation. Real Interest Rate is the amount by which the
nominal interest rate is higher than the inflation rate. The
real rate of interest is approximated by taking the nominal
interest rate and subtracting inflation. The real interest
rate is the growth rate of purchasing power derived from an
investment. There is a preference for "real" applications
for savings such as consumption or real investment. Real interest
rate compensates for delayed consumption or giving up real
investment opportunities. The higher the desire for consumption
or real investment opportunities the higher the real rate
of interest.
The real rate of interest is determined by the demand and
supply for savings at a given point in time. The real rate
is the price needed to delay consumption of funds demanded
for real investment. Upward shifts to the right (increases)
in demand for desired real investment cause the real rate
of interest to increase. If the supply of desired savings
shifts upward (increases) to the right, the real rate of interest
declines. The concept of real rate of interest is a most important
theoretical construct in monetary policy. Monetary authorities
use it as an instrumental measure to target the mandated or
desired inflation rate. (Brahmananda, 2001)
Nominal interest
Nominal interest is the rate of interest specified in loan
contracts, without adjustment for inflation. The annual return
form lending money expressed as a percentage, without having
taken account of the rate of inflation. Nominal means "in
name only”, this is sometimes called the quoted rate.
(McCracken, 2004) Normal Interest Rate is the stated rate
of interest applied to certain investment process.
Nominal Rate of Interest only has an impact on firms’
investment decisions if they are accompanied by a change in
the real interest rate. Research findings said that, empirical
investigations of the relationship between investment and
demand uncertainty seldom use appropriate empirical proxies
that are close to the concept of demand uncertainty for which
the theory is developed. Results show that demand uncertainty
reduces both planned investment and realized investment (1991)
for imperfectly competitive firms. There was no evidence of
an effect of price uncertainty on investment, which is consistent
with the assumption of price setting firms. Outcome show that
demand uncertainty reduces the level of investment plans,
and do so by a non-negligible amount. Butzen et al (2003),
Guiso and Parigi (1999) and Patillo (1998) also report a negative
effect of demand uncertainty on firms’ investment.
Finally, such results suggest that, on average, firms adjust
their investment plans very little, although revisions may
be substantial for some firms and years. Firms do not modify
their investment decisions due to the fact that part of the
uncertainty had disappeared between the time the investment
was planned and the time investment is realized. This contrasts
with the effect of uncertainty on the timing of investment,
as stressed by the real-option theory. However, firms may
revise their investment plans according to new information
on their fundamentals. In particular firms may adjust their
investment plans when observing sales growth, but they do
so only slightly.
In summary, results indicate that the level of uncertainty
affects investment plans, but that plans are not revised as
a result of a change in uncertainty. This suggests that a
reduction in the level of uncertainty would indeed enhance
investment, but will do so with a lagged effect, since uncertainty
affects investment plans but not revisions of current investment.
References:
McCracken, M. E. (2004). Kinds of interest rates
Brahmananda, PR (2001) Course of Real Interest Rates in US
Economy
Ross, SA (2002) Fundamentals of Corporate Finance: Interest
Rates and Bond Valuation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Patillo, C. (1998), "Investment, uncertainty and irreversibility
in Ghana", IMF Staff Papers, 45(3), 522-553.
Guiso, L. and G. Parigi (1999), "Investment and demand
uncertainty", Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 185-227
Caballero, R. (1991), "On the sign of the investment-uncertainty
relationship", American Economic Review, 81, 279-288
Butzen, P., C. Fuss and Ph. Vermeulen (2003), " The
impact of uncertainty on investment plans", in Butzen,
P. and C. Fuss (eds.), Firms’ Investment and Finance
Decisions: Theory and Empirical Methodology, Cheltenham, UK:
Edward Elgar, August 2003.
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